Skip to main content

Pre Stock Market Report, September 18, 2020

 


  1. US markets closed lower but off the lows.
  2. When our markets closed here, Dow futures was down about 300 points.
  3. But Dow closed about half of that only.
  4. Yet Asian markets are trading with negative bias.
  5. SGX Nifty is almost flat.
  6. Bank Nifty is still not seeing any meaningful recovery.
  7. But at the same time, it is not falling much also.
  8. Bank Nifty taking support in the range 22200-22300.
  9. Rest of the series may continue to go for consolidation.
  10. Markets have been Highly Volatile for quite some time now.
  11. Yesterday Expiry was also the same.
  12. Directionless markets with high Volatility.
  13. Plus SEBI rules creating panic & volume changes in the Exchange.
  14. Traders should be very Cautious while dealing with such type of markets.
  15. The simple Strategy to Trade in such markets is to buy gap downs and sell gap ups.
  16. Buy Drawdowns and sell rallies.
  17. Buy Drawdowns and sell rallies.
  18. FIIs and DIIs both were net sellers in Cash market yesterday.
  19. DIIs have sold for more than 1068 crores.
  20. Now this is a big Number.
  21. Monthly Expiries can be even more Volatile & then some trending move might be witnessed by Tuesday Afternoon.
  22. But who knows, when everything looks negative, people will cover the shorts and that can trigger a short covering rally.
  23. Yesterday Nifty was down but not out.
  24. Buying came at lower levels.
  25. Maruti shot up nearly Rs 150 from the lows.
  26. Some Asian markets are recovering and trading in Green while I am writing this report.
  27. Nifty has to cross 11580 and Bank Nifty 22700 for further upside.
  28. Until then it is going to consolidate in narrow range.
  29. September has been a high volatile month.
  30. Usually high volatile months will see a huge trending in the last week on either side.
  31. I am expecting 250-300 point move next week.
  32. That is very much possible if Bank Nifty see some short covering.
  33. For today, it may be just consolidation.
  34. Reliance has broken 2300 on the downside.
  35. That is a key stock to watch for market direction.
  36. HDFC Bank helping Bank Nifty to stabilise.
  37. Nifty future may trade between 11480 and 11600.
  38. IT & Reliance continue to be the Pillars of the Market.
  39. I'm neither a Bull nor a bear as of now.
  40. Nifty might Trade between 11460 to 11620 today.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Understanding Gaps in the market and trading them !!

  Common Gaps Sometimes referred to as a trading gap or an area gap, the common gap is usually uneventful. In fact, they can be caused by a stock going ex-dividend when the trading volume is low. These gaps are common (get it?) and usually get filled fairly quickly. "Getting filled" means that the price action at a later time (few days to a few weeks) usually retraces at the least to the last day before the gap. This is also known as closing the gap. Here is a chart of two common gaps that have not been filled for while but now filled up . Notice that after the gap the prices have come down to at least the beginning of the gap? That is called closing or filling the gap. A common gap usually appears in a trading range or congestion area, and reinforces the apparent lack of interest in the stock at that time. Many times this is further exacerbated by low trading volume. Being aware of these types of gaps is good, but doubtful that they will produce a trading opportunities. Brea...

Questions and Methods for Price Action Analysis

 Winners and Losers in the Market a. Who is dominating the current swing, bulls or bears? b. Are they correct? c. If they‟re wrong: i. Where is this move likely to stall? Where is the opposite order flow likely to enter the market? ii. Where will these traders have positioned their stops? d. If they‟re right: i. Where are these traders targeting? Where are they going to take profits or lighten their position? e. If they‟re in the right direction, but late: i. Where is the worst place to be entering late in this move? Where will the late traders be stopped out? Trapped Traders a. Where is the last group of trapped traders? b. Where are they hoping to get out? How will that affect price? c. Where will they give up and bail out? How will that affect price? Expectations - Most Likely Price Movement a. What do you expect the market to do from here? i. Why do you expect that? ii. How would price have to behave prior to that move occurring? iii. Is price behaving this way? b. If the most ...

The Force is Within You, Luke. It’s Not the Trading System.

 There are only a handful of people who give a darn about supplying traders with a way to be more disciplined and focused in their trading.  I’m one of them, so I think I know why there are so few of us.  Heck, I’m in the business of supplying traders with a tool to help improve the mental side of the trading equation… the “human” element.  With (what I think) is such an important service, why am I out here virtually alone?  For a couple of reasons.    First, although most traders will admit that the mental part of trading is key to winning in the long-term, most believe they can “gut it up” and just “shake it off” when negative emotions and behaviors rear their ugly heads.  They don’t need a shrink!  They know what they need to do and by-cracky, they’ll do what needs to be done without any help!  I call this the Macho Syndrome And what’s funny is… I get most resistance to the notion of mental discipline (as formal training) from those t...