Common Gaps Sometimes referred to as a trading gap or an area gap, the common gap is usually uneventful. In fact, they can be caused by a stock going ex-dividend when the trading volume is low. These gaps are common (get it?) and usually get filled fairly quickly. "Getting filled" means that the price action at a later time (few days to a few weeks) usually retraces at the least to the last day before the gap. This is also known as closing the gap. Here is a chart of two common gaps that have not been filled for while but now filled up . Notice that after the gap the prices have come down to at least the beginning of the gap? That is called closing or filling the gap. A common gap usually appears in a trading range or congestion area, and reinforces the apparent lack of interest in the stock at that time. Many times this is further exacerbated by low trading volume. Being aware of these types of gaps is good, but doubtful that they will produce a trading opportunities. Brea...
Winners and Losers in the Market a. Who is dominating the current swing, bulls or bears? b. Are they correct? c. If they‟re wrong: i. Where is this move likely to stall? Where is the opposite order flow likely to enter the market? ii. Where will these traders have positioned their stops? d. If they‟re right: i. Where are these traders targeting? Where are they going to take profits or lighten their position? e. If they‟re in the right direction, but late: i. Where is the worst place to be entering late in this move? Where will the late traders be stopped out? Trapped Traders a. Where is the last group of trapped traders? b. Where are they hoping to get out? How will that affect price? c. Where will they give up and bail out? How will that affect price? Expectations - Most Likely Price Movement a. What do you expect the market to do from here? i. Why do you expect that? ii. How would price have to behave prior to that move occurring? iii. Is price behaving this way? b. If the most ...